Race 10A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Mulcahy 4.6% 6.0% 6.9% 6.3% 6.5% 8.4% 6.5% 8.3% 8.9% 9.5% 7.6% 9.6% 9.0% 1.9%
Beckett Kumler 5.4% 7.7% 6.4% 5.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.7% 8.0% 8.1% 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 7.0% 1.7%
Jed Bell 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 8.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.0% 6.3% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Tyler Nash 6.6% 8.8% 7.9% 7.2% 7.4% 9.0% 9.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.0% 6.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Nathan Sih 9.6% 9.2% 11.0% 10.5% 9.4% 7.6% 8.1% 9.3% 7.5% 5.6% 6.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Will Priebe 8.3% 5.9% 7.6% 8.4% 8.3% 9.1% 7.9% 10.1% 7.8% 7.8% 6.1% 7.7% 4.2% 0.8%
Michael Kirkman 13.0% 13.2% 11.6% 9.8% 9.7% 8.6% 9.2% 6.7% 6.4% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Mason Stang 14.3% 13.2% 10.9% 10.9% 10.1% 7.5% 7.4% 6.5% 6.4% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 9.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 9.0% 9.3% 8.2% 6.2% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Matthew Elliott 7.1% 6.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.9% 6.9% 8.8% 6.8% 8.6% 9.4% 7.7% 7.6% 3.7% 0.5%
Nils Tullberg 6.1% 4.8% 4.4% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.1% 6.8% 8.8% 10.1% 10.4% 10.6% 7.8% 2.1%
Matthew Cabot 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 5.5% 6.6% 12.8% 32.1% 25.8%
Chase O'Malley 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 5.0% 17.1% 63.2%
Porter Bell 4.6% 4.3% 6.0% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.8% 8.1% 12.9% 12.4% 9.3% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.