Race 13A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Mulcahy 4.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 9.0% 11.1% 10.0% 9.9% 5.8% 2.0%
Nathan Sih 11.4% 10.5% 9.3% 10.1% 10.7% 7.9% 8.2% 9.3% 8.5% 4.5% 4.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Mason Stang 12.6% 13.9% 10.9% 11.1% 8.8% 9.4% 8.4% 7.8% 5.3% 5.7% 3.2% 2.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Beckett Kumler 5.3% 4.3% 7.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 9.7% 10.3% 10.8% 7.6% 1.9%
Nils Tullberg 4.4% 5.2% 5.4% 7.4% 7.0% 6.5% 6.3% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.8% 12.4% 7.7% 1.9%
Oliver Stokke 10.4% 9.5% 10.2% 8.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.4% 8.8% 6.6% 6.4% 5.1% 4.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Tyler Nash 8.7% 8.9% 6.8% 8.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 7.5% 8.5% 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 3.1% 0.2%
Will Priebe 8.5% 7.9% 8.7% 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 7.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.0% 3.6% 0.8%
Chase O'Malley 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 2.1% 2.8% 6.4% 18.4% 62.6%
Jed Bell 8.1% 7.7% 8.9% 9.1% 8.9% 8.0% 9.8% 8.6% 7.3% 8.2% 6.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Matthew Cabot 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 6.4% 7.0% 9.6% 33.1% 26.8%
Matthew Elliott 7.2% 6.5% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.1% 9.3% 7.7% 9.0% 7.4% 8.4% 7.0% 4.0% 0.5%
Porter Bell 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 7.8% 10.2% 8.8% 11.5% 13.1% 8.8% 2.2%
Michael Kirkman 12.6% 12.0% 10.9% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6% 5.5% 3.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.