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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+10.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+5.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+4.54vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+3.15vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+3.66vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+2.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-1.03vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.33-1.88vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24+1.56vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-1.49vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.92-7.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.09-5.32vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-4.42vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.70vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.01College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
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9.15Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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12.56Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.51Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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5.58Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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11.86Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.58University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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13.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Tedd Himler | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| David Hernandez | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| William Hutchings | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% |
| Will Stocke | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% |
| John Wallace | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 23.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.