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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.87+11.26vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.40+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.79+2.93vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.41+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.020.00vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+4.76vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+2.99vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19-0.68vs Predicted
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10Indiana University0.29-1.26vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+0.90vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.69-1.09vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83+0.01vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.67-2.90vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.15-5.59vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-1.09vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.75-2.14vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.70-14.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.26Christopher Newport University-0.871.7%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University1.4017.5%1st Place
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5.93University of Virginia0.7910.3%1st Place
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5.46Clemson University0.7311.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Texas0.415.9%1st Place
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6.0University of South Florida1.029.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.831.8%1st Place
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10.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.671.9%1st Place
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8.32The Citadel0.194.9%1st Place
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8.74Indiana University0.293.6%1st Place
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11.9Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Maryland-0.692.6%1st Place
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13.01Embry-Riddle University-1.831.4%1st Place
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11.1William and Mary-0.672.5%1st Place
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9.41University of Florida-0.153.1%1st Place
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14.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.8%1st Place
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14.86University of North Carolina-1.750.4%1st Place
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3.85Jacksonville University1.7019.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Roou | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Robert Chase | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Mullray | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Madeline Washburn | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 34.4% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 30.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 19.4% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.