← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.36+7.06vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.69+2.24vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.36+2.28vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.73+3.14vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.67-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.62+4.24vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.08-1.18vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.83vs Predicted
-
91.15-0.20vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.01-3.66vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.37-2.82vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University-1.24+1.25vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University0.10-1.80vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University2.51-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.06Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
-
4.24Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
-
5.28Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.14Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.55Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.24Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
5.82Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
-
8.81.150.0%1st Place
-
6.34Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.18Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.25Columbia University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
11.2Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
4.71Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 21.2% | 6.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| Jack Roman | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 73.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 34.0% | 14.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.