Race 8B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charlotte Costikyan 5.5% 6.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.4% 7.6% 9.8% 9.3% 10.1% 9.2% 7.8% 5.8% 4.1% 0.3%
Hunter Zonnenberg 13.2% 11.9% 10.6% 11.5% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 7.1% 6.6% 4.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Emil Tullberg 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.0% 5.8% 6.0% 7.7% 11.9% 19.5% 21.3% 6.2%
Mateo Farina 13.6% 15.8% 15.0% 12.6% 11.5% 8.9% 6.7% 7.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 14.2% 13.6% 15.4% 12.2% 10.5% 10.2% 8.2% 5.2% 4.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 8.6% 8.3% 8.5% 9.7% 10.1% 9.1% 9.0% 9.2% 7.6% 8.3% 6.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 3.9% 5.6% 6.3% 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.7% 10.9% 10.2% 13.2% 9.0% 6.7% 0.9%
Peter Lobaugh 14.7% 14.6% 10.6% 12.0% 9.4% 8.3% 8.5% 7.0% 5.6% 5.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 6.1% 5.5% 5.9% 5.7% 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 10.0% 10.9% 11.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.0% 0.3%
Joshua Dillon 3.9% 3.7% 4.3% 4.7% 6.3% 7.5% 8.5% 9.3% 8.7% 10.7% 12.3% 12.4% 6.5% 1.2%
Jack Roman 8.7% 7.3% 7.2% 10.6% 8.2% 9.4% 10.7% 9.7% 8.1% 6.7% 6.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Olin Guck 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 5.4% 6.0% 6.6% 8.1% 10.7% 11.7% 12.3% 13.5% 9.5% 2.3%
Alison Keenan 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% 4.6% 10.8% 74.5%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 9.3% 15.3% 34.8% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.