Race 10B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Lobaugh 11.9% 15.2% 14.3% 11.2% 10.2% 9.6% 8.8% 5.8% 5.0% 3.7% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 16.0% 15.4% 14.7% 11.5% 10.8% 10.8% 7.1% 5.2% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Mateo Farina 16.7% 14.7% 13.2% 14.4% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1% 6.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Olin Guck 2.9% 3.0% 4.7% 4.5% 4.4% 6.6% 5.8% 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 12.8% 13.7% 9.6% 2.5%
Joshua Dillon 3.6% 4.3% 4.4% 5.8% 7.0% 6.1% 6.9% 8.5% 10.2% 11.2% 11.7% 11.4% 7.9% 1.0%
Bryan Trammell 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 8.5% 11.1% 8.9% 9.8% 10.1% 7.5% 8.6% 5.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Emil Tullberg 2.4% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 4.6% 4.0% 5.3% 4.8% 7.2% 7.6% 13.3% 17.2% 21.1% 5.2%
Hunter Zonnenberg 12.1% 12.9% 9.8% 10.1% 11.3% 8.2% 9.9% 6.8% 7.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 5.0% 3.1% 4.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.8% 9.6% 8.8% 9.7% 10.6% 13.0% 11.7% 6.7% 1.0%
Max Katz-Christy 5.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 10.9% 9.9% 10.3% 9.4% 7.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Charlotte Costikyan 5.7% 6.4% 5.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 8.0% 10.3% 9.8% 9.0% 6.8% 3.7% 0.1%
Alison Keenan 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 4.3% 12.0% 74.3%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 4.1% 5.6% 9.8% 16.4% 32.6% 14.9%
Jack Roman 8.4% 8.7% 9.3% 8.8% 8.4% 10.1% 9.0% 10.1% 9.4% 8.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.