← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.92+5.09vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University4.50+5.66vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.64+8.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami3.69+6.78vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.78+5.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.92+3.96vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.49+4.68vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University4.33+0.08vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.89+1.08vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.73vs Predicted
-
11Brown University4.30-2.56vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University4.71-5.01vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College3.24-0.42vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University4.05-4.98vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.70-4.18vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy4.09-6.77vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University4.01-7.30vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-10.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
7.66Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
-
11.45College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
10.78University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
-
10.44Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
-
11.68University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.08Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.08Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
-
10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.44Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
6.99Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
12.58Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.02Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.82Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
9.23U. S. Naval Academy4.090.0%1st Place
-
9.7Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
-
7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Mac Mace | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| David Hernandez | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Megan Magill | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 20.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.