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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+3.22vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.02+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.79+1.98vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.41+1.48vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.87+5.22vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.69+3.17vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19-0.70vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.67+1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.15-2.73vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.01vs Predicted
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14Indiana University0.29-5.17vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-3.34vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-1.15vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-6.07vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-1.75-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22North Carolina State University1.4018.4%1st Place
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5.52Clemson University0.7311.5%1st Place
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6.18University of South Florida1.027.6%1st Place
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5.98University of Virginia0.799.3%1st Place
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3.87Jacksonville University1.7019.4%1st Place
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7.48University of Texas0.416.3%1st Place
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12.22Christopher Newport University-0.871.4%1st Place
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11.17University of Maryland-0.691.7%1st Place
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8.3The Citadel0.195.0%1st Place
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11.09William and Mary-0.672.9%1st Place
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11.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.832.2%1st Place
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9.27University of Florida-0.153.6%1st Place
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12.99Embry-Riddle University-1.831.5%1st Place
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8.83Indiana University0.293.4%1st Place
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11.66Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.2%1st Place
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14.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.5%1st Place
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10.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.672.4%1st Place
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14.83University of North Carolina-1.750.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Montague | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 19.4% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Walter Roou | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Henry Powell | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Madeline Washburn | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| William Mullray | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 30.6% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.