Race 1C

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Bennett 9.4% 9.0% 11.6% 10.2% 9.1% 10.4% 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 5.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 5.4% 6.1% 8.4% 10.3% 16.7% 18.2% 14.1% 1.4%
Peter Busch 14.9% 15.6% 13.3% 14.4% 12.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.1% 3.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.1% 5.0% 4.5% 6.0% 7.4% 7.7% 6.8% 12.9% 11.3% 13.2% 13.7% 7.1% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 11.3% 12.0% 11.4% 9.8% 9.5% 11.4% 10.1% 8.1% 7.5% 4.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
William George 7.8% 8.8% 9.5% 8.5% 8.6% 10.7% 10.1% 9.6% 11.0% 7.6% 5.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 15.0% 13.1% 13.1% 13.8% 10.7% 8.0% 9.4% 6.7% 5.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 15.9% 15.9% 12.3% 12.0% 12.0% 11.1% 7.9% 5.8% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 7.1% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 8.7% 9.3% 11.4% 11.2% 10.1% 10.7% 7.9% 3.5% 0.4%
Christophe Chaumont 8.3% 7.9% 8.9% 8.4% 10.9% 8.6% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 7.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.2%
Alexander Lee 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 4.4% 3.7% 5.2% 7.1% 11.2% 16.8% 38.9% 4.0%
Alexander Horne 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 3.0% 4.7% 6.6% 6.3% 8.1% 13.5% 21.6% 24.1% 1.8%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 4.5% 91.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.