Race 3C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian Winkelman 9.4% 11.4% 11.7% 10.9% 10.0% 11.0% 9.7% 9.3% 7.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Connor Bennett 9.3% 9.6% 10.5% 9.5% 9.2% 11.1% 11.6% 10.5% 7.1% 6.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 4.1% 5.1% 7.9% 10.1% 18.2% 40.7% 4.4%
Peter Busch 17.5% 14.3% 12.6% 14.0% 11.9% 7.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 7.2% 6.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.9% 8.7% 8.6% 10.6% 12.2% 10.0% 7.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Christophe Chaumont 7.2% 8.2% 9.7% 8.2% 9.3% 10.7% 10.4% 10.1% 8.3% 9.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 16.9% 14.3% 12.7% 12.4% 12.6% 8.8% 8.4% 6.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
William George 6.4% 8.3% 9.1% 8.8% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 11.7% 9.7% 8.0% 5.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Alexander Horne 1.9% 3.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 4.1% 4.9% 6.1% 9.5% 14.5% 20.8% 23.3% 1.5%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.6% 3.5% 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.5% 8.3% 9.4% 13.1% 12.8% 13.3% 7.5% 0.3%
Katharine Doble 14.6% 15.6% 12.8% 13.0% 10.6% 10.9% 6.9% 7.8% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 2.5% 3.6% 3.1% 3.9% 5.0% 6.4% 7.0% 5.8% 12.6% 15.7% 18.1% 15.3% 1.0%
Emily Lo 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 3.9% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.