Race 4C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian Winkelman 11.3% 10.9% 10.3% 8.8% 11.3% 11.3% 10.6% 9.1% 7.4% 5.6% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Drew Mastovsky 15.4% 15.0% 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 11.2% 6.6% 6.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Busch 14.5% 17.5% 12.8% 12.5% 12.0% 9.8% 8.2% 5.4% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Bennett 9.3% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 9.7% 10.4% 10.6% 9.0% 9.5% 6.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.4% 5.3% 6.1% 9.6% 8.6% 16.4% 18.0% 13.7% 0.9%
Adrien Bellanger 7.1% 6.0% 8.8% 7.5% 7.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 8.9% 8.5% 3.5% 0.2%
William George 8.8% 8.4% 8.2% 9.3% 9.0% 8.5% 11.0% 10.1% 11.0% 8.9% 4.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 7.4% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 8.7% 11.0% 11.0% 11.6% 10.0% 7.5% 5.3% 2.7% 0.0%
Alexander Horne 2.0% 3.3% 2.0% 3.4% 4.7% 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 10.4% 14.7% 21.1% 23.2% 1.8%
Katharine Doble 15.2% 12.7% 14.9% 11.7% 9.8% 9.3% 7.2% 7.8% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.9% 4.6% 6.5% 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 9.4% 10.5% 13.2% 12.7% 11.7% 5.7% 0.5%
Alexander Lee 1.4% 0.8% 1.2% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.6% 4.9% 5.6% 9.2% 18.9% 42.6% 4.1%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.7% 3.6% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.