Race 7C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gavin Monaghan 3.6% 2.9% 2.1% 4.5% 4.3% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 8.6% 16.5% 18.7% 14.6% 0.8%
Drew Mastovsky 14.3% 16.5% 13.4% 12.4% 11.2% 9.8% 8.9% 6.1% 4.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 5.7% 7.9% 7.9% 10.2% 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 10.8% 11.2% 8.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Peter Busch 17.0% 15.3% 13.2% 12.6% 10.6% 9.9% 8.1% 6.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 11.2% 10.7% 12.4% 9.6% 9.9% 10.7% 11.0% 8.7% 6.5% 5.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 14.4% 13.2% 14.7% 11.0% 13.7% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 7.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Horne 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.6% 4.9% 6.7% 8.2% 13.9% 21.4% 21.7% 1.8%
Adrien Bellanger 5.9% 6.9% 8.3% 7.0% 8.4% 9.6% 10.1% 12.2% 11.0% 9.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.8% 5.0% 4.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3% 8.6% 9.7% 13.4% 13.8% 12.7% 7.9% 0.7%
Connor Bennett 10.5% 9.4% 9.7% 10.0% 10.7% 10.1% 8.8% 9.6% 9.2% 6.5% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
William George 8.4% 8.2% 8.8% 10.5% 8.5% 11.6% 9.5% 9.6% 10.3% 8.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 4.3% 5.7% 10.5% 16.3% 43.4% 4.3%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 3.5% 92.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.