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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.70vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+3.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+4.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+5.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.37vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+3.15vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+1.33vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.05-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-0.06vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.71-5.00vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-2.08vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.30-5.56vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.50-7.36vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-5.90vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.24-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.19Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.15College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
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11.6Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% |
| David Hernandez | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Wesley Byrne | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.