Race 8C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Busch 16.6% 15.0% 13.8% 13.8% 11.1% 8.3% 8.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Bennett 10.0% 8.4% 10.2% 10.3% 11.9% 8.9% 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 6.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 5.9% 7.3% 9.8% 9.2% 8.7% 10.7% 9.9% 12.7% 9.7% 8.4% 5.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.0% 5.0% 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 10.0% 12.6% 13.2% 13.7% 7.2% 0.3%
Drew Mastovsky 16.3% 16.4% 12.2% 12.4% 11.0% 9.9% 8.0% 5.9% 4.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 15.1% 13.4% 13.8% 11.7% 11.1% 9.6% 8.2% 7.3% 4.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 11.8% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.7% 12.2% 8.3% 9.4% 8.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 6.5% 7.0% 6.4% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 11.5% 10.4% 11.2% 9.3% 7.0% 3.9% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.9% 8.3% 11.6% 14.5% 19.2% 15.2% 1.3%
Alexander Horne 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 6.2% 7.2% 9.0% 14.5% 19.9% 22.3% 1.9%
William George 7.4% 8.1% 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 11.4% 9.6% 9.2% 8.2% 4.8% 2.3% 0.1%
Alexander Lee 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 6.3% 11.1% 18.0% 40.8% 4.2%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 1.7% 4.2% 92.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.