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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+4.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.35vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.77+5.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.44+0.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.67+0.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-2.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-3.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-2.22vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.63vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.03-0.76vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-6.45vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-5.11vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-2.66-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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4.34Boston College2.440.2%1st Place
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6.22Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.71Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.41Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University0.030.0%1st Place
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5.55Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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7.89Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.81Columbia University-2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| William George | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 1.1% |
| Peter Busch | 16.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 44.5% | 5.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lo | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 91.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.