Race 12C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Busch 16.5% 14.6% 14.2% 13.4% 11.5% 9.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 7.5% 8.6% 8.5% 7.3% 8.9% 11.5% 11.9% 9.2% 11.1% 7.7% 5.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 14.8% 15.0% 14.5% 11.9% 11.8% 10.4% 8.9% 5.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Adrien Bellanger 6.2% 7.4% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 10.3% 9.2% 11.8% 10.1% 11.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.1%
Connor Bennett 10.2% 10.7% 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 9.1% 11.5% 9.7% 8.5% 5.9% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.3% 7.2% 5.8% 8.6% 11.2% 17.6% 16.7% 13.0% 1.0%
Katharine Doble 15.1% 13.6% 11.7% 12.2% 12.7% 9.5% 8.1% 7.7% 5.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
William George 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 9.4% 8.4% 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 11.5% 7.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 6.1% 9.9% 20.3% 39.2% 3.8%
Adrian Winkelman 11.6% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 10.9% 8.3% 10.3% 9.8% 7.0% 5.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.1% 4.4% 7.2% 6.0% 8.6% 7.0% 7.6% 10.9% 13.8% 14.0% 10.6% 5.3% 0.5%
Lucas Escandon 1.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 6.6% 13.4% 23.7% 28.7% 2.7%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 4.0% 91.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.