Race 13C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian Winkelman 11.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 8.8% 12.3% 10.3% 9.5% 7.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Gavin Monaghan 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 5.1% 6.4% 5.1% 5.5% 8.6% 11.7% 16.7% 17.8% 13.0% 0.8%
Drew Mastovsky 14.3% 15.2% 14.2% 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 7.7% 6.2% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 14.7% 13.4% 13.1% 11.1% 10.5% 10.3% 10.6% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Bennett 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 9.8% 8.6% 10.1% 11.4% 10.4% 8.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Peter Busch 15.6% 16.8% 13.2% 13.4% 11.9% 8.4% 8.5% 4.8% 3.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 6.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 5.6% 6.3% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 13.1% 12.9% 6.4% 0.4%
Christophe Chaumont 7.7% 6.8% 8.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.6% 10.7% 12.4% 10.5% 7.8% 5.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 1.3% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 6.3% 11.5% 18.9% 39.5% 3.7%
Adrien Bellanger 7.1% 6.1% 6.8% 9.0% 10.1% 8.6% 8.8% 10.1% 12.1% 9.5% 8.9% 2.5% 0.4%
William George 7.5% 9.1% 8.3% 8.9% 12.3% 10.5% 9.4% 10.5% 9.9% 6.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.0%
Lucas Escandon 1.9% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 2.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 8.5% 13.1% 21.8% 29.0% 2.5%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.9% 3.6% 92.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.