Race 14C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Busch 16.3% 14.0% 15.5% 11.4% 12.2% 10.3% 7.9% 5.7% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 9.7% 10.9% 8.4% 13.0% 11.0% 7.0% 6.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 10.1% 10.5% 10.1% 12.2% 11.2% 10.4% 9.8% 10.4% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Adrien Bellanger 6.1% 7.0% 6.5% 9.0% 7.3% 9.9% 10.1% 11.1% 11.1% 10.4% 8.6% 2.9% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 3.5% 3.3% 3.6% 4.6% 6.1% 5.7% 7.2% 7.2% 10.7% 16.4% 17.5% 13.1% 1.1%
Drew Mastovsky 16.8% 14.6% 13.5% 12.4% 11.2% 9.7% 8.3% 4.6% 5.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
William George 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.3% 8.8% 9.5% 11.8% 9.9% 10.2% 8.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Connor Bennett 8.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.4% 8.7% 10.7% 11.8% 10.1% 8.0% 4.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 6.6% 8.4% 11.0% 14.1% 13.1% 12.4% 6.6% 0.9%
Lucas Escandon 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 2.4% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 7.4% 15.1% 21.2% 26.8% 2.5%
Katharine Doble 14.9% 14.9% 13.7% 12.5% 12.1% 9.2% 8.1% 5.5% 4.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.5% 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 5.1% 6.7% 11.0% 18.2% 40.5% 3.9%
Emily Lo 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 2.0% 4.2% 91.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.