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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.46+4.14vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.21+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.38+0.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.68+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.56-4.27vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.01-1.73vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.18-2.15vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.93-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.09-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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6.14University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.76Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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6.63Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Washington0.560.2%1st Place
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7.27University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.85Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.11Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 33.2% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Nikolo Vo | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 6.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Adrian Salamon | 17.7% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 10.3% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.