Race 2A

outlaw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Stone 38.9% 26.9% 14.2% 9.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Malcolm Duncan Graves 5.9% 4.6% 8.8% 10.2% 12.7% 14.3% 13.6% 12.3% 12.0% 5.6%
Emily Avey 6.5% 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 13.8% 15.3% 14.9% 11.0% 7.9% 3.5%
Adrian Salamon 17.2% 19.3% 20.7% 17.5% 11.3% 7.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Aragorn Crozier 14.9% 18.7% 17.0% 18.3% 12.3% 8.8% 5.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Jaden Unruh 6.9% 7.5% 11.1% 10.4% 14.2% 14.8% 12.7% 10.9% 8.2% 3.3%
Rowan Clinch 3.0% 4.0% 6.4% 7.3% 9.7% 11.8% 16.6% 15.1% 15.4% 10.7%
Molly McLeod 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.8% 8.0% 10.6% 15.8% 49.3%
Marty Weigel 3.0% 4.3% 5.2% 7.0% 9.0% 9.7% 12.3% 17.7% 18.6% 13.2%
Claire Jablonski 2.6% 4.0% 5.5% 7.1% 8.2% 9.7% 11.9% 17.1% 20.0% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.