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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+1.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.68+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.38+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.56-0.60vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.18+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46-0.62vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.15-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.01-4.44vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.09-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Washington1.320.4%1st Place
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5.91Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Washington0.560.2%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.87Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 38.7% | 27.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 6.3% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 4.9% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 14.9% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Salamon | 17.1% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Claire Jablonski | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 14.0% |
| Emily Avey | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 12.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 10.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.