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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+5.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+2.06vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+3.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+3.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.34vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.58vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+2.26vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-2.63vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.24-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-3.84vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.66-5.26vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.29Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.22Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.11Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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8.24Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 27.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 18.3% |
| David Hernandez | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Michael Marshall | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.