Race 4A

outlaw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Stone 39.2% 26.3% 15.5% 9.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Malcolm Duncan Graves 6.3% 4.7% 8.4% 10.5% 10.3% 14.7% 16.4% 12.2% 11.0% 5.5%
Adrian Salamon 16.9% 20.1% 17.2% 17.4% 13.6% 7.9% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Aragorn Crozier 13.6% 17.9% 19.7% 16.9% 12.1% 9.0% 6.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Emily Avey 7.2% 9.1% 9.1% 10.7% 13.5% 14.5% 13.9% 10.4% 9.0% 2.6%
Jaden Unruh 7.2% 8.1% 10.6% 11.1% 13.3% 13.7% 12.9% 10.4% 8.9% 3.8%
Claire Jablonski 2.5% 3.4% 5.5% 6.2% 8.5% 10.2% 15.2% 17.3% 17.5% 13.7%
Rowan Clinch 3.2% 4.8% 6.7% 8.2% 10.5% 10.7% 11.4% 18.2% 16.2% 10.1%
Marty Weigel 2.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.5% 9.2% 11.5% 10.8% 16.5% 19.9% 13.2%
Molly McLeod 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 7.6% 9.9% 15.5% 50.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.