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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-1.21+5.50vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.46-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.18-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.83+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.38-3.21vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.08-7.14vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Western Washington University-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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2.91University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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4.92Western Washington University-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.86Western Washington University0.080.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Sasaki | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 7.9% |
| Owen Thomas | 26.4% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 23.5% | 24.5% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 6.9% |
| ella notdurft | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 67.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 8.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 15.6% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.