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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+1.87vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.08+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66-0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.94+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.38+1.76vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.21+0.46vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.46-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.78-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.18-3.55vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.83-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.99Western Washington University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Washington-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Thomas | 28.9% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 24.9% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 3.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 10.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 7.8% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 7.1% |
| ella notdurft | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.