Race 4B

outlaw

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Thomas 28.3% 23.2% 17.3% 11.9% 9.4% 5.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Lucien Freemesser 26.5% 23.5% 17.8% 14.4% 8.8% 5.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Gerber 13.8% 14.8% 17.4% 15.2% 15.5% 11.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Allison Sasaki 2.8% 4.9% 6.0% 8.5% 8.3% 11.9% 16.8% 15.7% 19.2% 5.9%
Jaxon Gordon 5.6% 7.7% 6.9% 9.8% 9.2% 13.0% 16.3% 15.0% 12.2% 4.3%
Sadie Creemer 4.5% 4.0% 5.8% 5.8% 8.2% 9.6% 13.9% 15.5% 21.3% 11.4%
Joseph Qualtier 5.2% 6.8% 9.5% 10.7% 13.6% 14.4% 15.6% 12.4% 8.5% 3.3%
Jenna Hiegel 4.3% 4.2% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 11.1% 12.4% 17.9% 18.1% 6.7%
Yuri Berebitsky 8.2% 10.2% 11.4% 13.0% 15.2% 13.7% 11.0% 10.3% 5.6% 1.4%
ella notdurft 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 7.3% 12.4% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.