← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington-1.18+3.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.66+0.23vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.08-0.03vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.21+1.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-1.38+0.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.78-2.70vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.46-4.13vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-2.83-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.95University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
-
2.23University of Washington0.660.4%1st Place
-
2.97Western Washington University0.080.2%1st Place
-
5.08Western Washington University-1.210.1%1st Place
-
5.39University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
-
4.3University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.87Western Washington University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
7.2University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Hiegel | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 7.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 38.0% | 28.1% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 21.6% | 23.1% | 21.7% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 8.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 11.8% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 2.8% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| ella notdurft | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 14.8% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.