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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.33+6.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+4.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+3.97vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+3.32vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+3.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+2.34vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.31-1.82vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-1.58vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-4.59vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-5.63vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-5.60vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.24-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.32Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.34Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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4.96Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.43Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 7.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| John Stokes | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| David Hernandez | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Mac Mace | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% |
| Colin Smith | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.