← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.89vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.30vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.51+5.61vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.38+1.63vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.14vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.97+1.13vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.56+1.44vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+2.31vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.12vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.07+0.19vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-1.92vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.08-1.80vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81-1.65vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.57-1.84vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University0.29-2.07vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.15-5.92vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University0.05-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
-
5.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.61Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
-
5.63Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.14U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
-
7.13Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
-
8.44U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
-
5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.19Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
-
10.2Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.16Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
-
12.93Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.08Old Dominion University1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.68Georgetown University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 15.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trenton Shaw | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.3% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Martin | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| James Bounds | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
| Adelia DeRose | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 22.2% |
| Sam Riley | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.