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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.08+9.01vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.38+3.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+5.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.51+4.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.33vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.15+4.16vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.07+3.32vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81+2.98vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.56-1.63vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.97-3.93vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University0.29+0.91vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-7.21vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University0.05-0.22vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.57-2.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.87-8.67vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.54-11.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.01Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.46Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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8.68Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.16Old Dominion University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.0%1st Place
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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7.07Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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12.91Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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13.78Georgetown University0.050.0%1st Place
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12.03Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Trenton Shaw | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Riley | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Milo Miller | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| James Bounds | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Mats Braaten | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Adelia DeRose | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 21.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Pryma | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 33.3% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.