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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.97+3.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+5.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.56+3.29vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.38-0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.53vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.51+0.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81+2.42vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.41vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.57+1.14vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-6.27vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.07-2.59vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.08-3.65vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University0.29-2.10vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University0.05-2.27vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.15-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.0%1st Place
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10.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.41Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.35Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.9Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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13.73Georgetown University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 11.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| James Bounds | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Adelia DeRose | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 22.8% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 30.6% |
| Sam Riley | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.