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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+7.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+6.18vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.78vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+2.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+3.46vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+3.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.50-1.40vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.31-1.60vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-0.98vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-2.39vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.44vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.33-6.79vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-5.09vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.24-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.46Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.55Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Mac Mace | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Will Stocke | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.5% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| David Hernandez | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.