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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.91vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.52+4.42vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.52+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.02+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.45+4.68vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.34+0.06vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-1.18+1.66vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-1.52+1.92vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.09-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+0.31vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.30-1.89vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.52-5.60vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-2.23vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-2.41-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-2.36-2.73vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.64-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91North Carolina State University1.5327.0%1st Place
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2.61Jacksonville University1.4531.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Texas-0.524.5%1st Place
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4.67University of South Florida0.5211.7%1st Place
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6.48University of Virginia0.024.6%1st Place
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10.68University of Maryland-1.451.2%1st Place
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7.06Christopher Newport University-0.344.0%1st Place
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9.66Indiana University-1.181.8%1st Place
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10.92The Citadel-1.521.2%1st Place
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9.27Embry-Riddle University-1.092.2%1st Place
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11.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.4%1st Place
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10.11Florida Institute of Technology-1.301.7%1st Place
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7.4Clemson University-0.524.8%1st Place
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11.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.9%1st Place
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13.51SUNY Stony Brook-2.410.8%1st Place
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13.27University of North Carolina-2.360.7%1st Place
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13.95William and Mary-2.640.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 27.0% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 31.1% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brilan Christopher | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Lara Sloep | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| William Avery | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Rebekah Rothleder | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 23.7% |
| Megan Miller | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 20.9% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.