← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.89vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.07+8.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.51+5.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.83vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+5.08vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.97+1.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.59vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.38-2.55vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81+2.40vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-1.14vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.57+1.16vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.56-3.64vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.15-2.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-6.62vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University0.29-2.07vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-5.42vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University0.05-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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10.22Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.08Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.45Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.0%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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12.93Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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13.72Georgetown University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 16.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| James Bounds | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Sam Riley | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Teddy Martin | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Adelia DeRose | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.8% |
| Mats Braaten | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.