← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.87vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.07+8.17vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.51+5.58vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.38+1.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+3.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.12vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.15+3.05vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.29+4.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.56-1.70vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.57+1.13vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81-0.83vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-2.34vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University0.05-0.26vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.08-4.74vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.97-9.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.40-11.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.0%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University1.150.0%1st Place
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12.71Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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12.13Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.0%1st Place
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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13.74Georgetown University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.96Georgetown University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 16.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Riley | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Adelia DeRose | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| James Bounds | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Mats Braaten | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Jack Pryma | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 32.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Trenton Shaw | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.