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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+4.53vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+3.47vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.42+0.91vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+0.89vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.16+4.27vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+5.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.50-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.12-0.94vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.24-1.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.96-0.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.29-0.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.59vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.81-4.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.46-3.39vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.91-2.80vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-3.78-1.95vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-15.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.47California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.91California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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5.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.1%1st Place
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10.27Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.0%1st Place
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14.96University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.52Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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15.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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12.45Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.61University of California at Davis-2.460.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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18.05Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 24.6% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Kasper | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Brayden Money | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Mason Read | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 10.6% |
| William Bailly | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Manuel Mackenna | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 50.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.