← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands0.42+3.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley-0.50+5.87vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.38vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+3.89vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.16+5.12vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.05vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-0.31vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-1.78vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.24+0.42vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-1.12-0.96vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.44vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.81-0.25vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+1.35vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+0.47vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-2.46-1.28vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-2.29-2.80vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.96-5.02vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-3.78-0.90vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-2.91-3.99vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-15.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
-
7.87University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
-
3.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
-
7.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
-
10.12Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
5.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
-
6.22California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
-
10.42Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.56University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
12.75Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
-
15.35University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
-
15.47University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
-
14.72University of California at Davis-2.460.0%1st Place
-
14.2University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.98University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
-
18.1Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
-
16.01University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
-
5.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Maggard | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 24.9% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Zoe Flemate | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Money | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Bailly | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 8.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 10.9% |
| Manuel Mackenna | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
| Mason Read | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 51.5% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.