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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.42+3.84vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+3.88vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+4.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+2.52vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.28vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.16+4.16vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.52vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.24+2.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.12+0.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.50-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-5.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+1.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.46-0.38vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.81-3.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.79vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-3.78-0.13vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.91-3.06vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-3.02-3.91vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.96-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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5.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.1%1st Place
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7.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.28California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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10.16Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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3.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
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10.22Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.19University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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14.62University of California at Davis-2.460.0%1st Place
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12.34Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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17.87Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
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15.94University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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16.09University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Maggard | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Henderson | 22.3% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zoe Flemate | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| Manuel Mackenna | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| William Bailly | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 8.5% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 44.4% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.