← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chandler Salisbury 10.8% 13.0% 16.9% 17.4% 15.9% 11.8% 8.4% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Thomas Barrows 45.1% 29.0% 15.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leah Hughes 7.8% 8.0% 13.8% 15.4% 17.9% 16.9% 12.4% 6.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Ambrose Gosling 20.0% 28.5% 23.0% 15.4% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Keller 3.7% 3.5% 6.4% 8.7% 10.7% 13.0% 17.6% 25.2% 10.2% 1.0%
Madeleine Harvey 5.3% 6.7% 8.1% 12.3% 15.3% 16.4% 17.8% 13.0% 4.7% 0.4%
Chris Grabe 2.2% 3.5% 5.5% 9.8% 10.8% 16.8% 18.1% 23.1% 9.1% 1.1%
Sean Andrew 4.1% 6.9% 9.2% 12.5% 14.7% 17.2% 16.7% 13.2% 5.2% 0.3%
Nate Olsen 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 3.4% 3.5% 5.2% 10.6% 54.2% 19.1%
Gabriel Elder 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 2.2% 3.8% 14.3% 77.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.