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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+10.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+8.06vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+6.15vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+6.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.38vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30-2.04vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+5.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99+1.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.55+4.81vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+3.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.19vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.02-4.06vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-1.75vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-5.69vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.71-9.36vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-8.12vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-6.50vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.97-8.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.04Harvard University2.102.8%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston1.813.5%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University1.965.1%1st Place
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10.21Dartmouth College2.104.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Pennsylvania1.775.6%1st Place
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3.96Stanford University3.3021.1%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University1.221.9%1st Place
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9.43Brown University1.994.7%1st Place
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13.81Tufts University0.551.6%1st Place
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13.0George Washington University0.931.3%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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7.94Tulane University2.027.0%1st Place
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11.25Bowdoin College1.512.7%1st Place
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8.31Boston College2.096.6%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.7111.6%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.206.9%1st Place
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10.5University of South Florida1.603.3%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University1.974.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Young | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.1% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 16.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 26.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 19.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.