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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85-0.04vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.98+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont4.10-1.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.07+1.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.53-0.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut2.51-2.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.50vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.83-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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1.96Yale University4.850.5%1st Place
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4.68Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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2.79University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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6.23Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.6Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Barrows | 45.1% | 29.0% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Hughes | 7.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ambrose Gosling | 20.0% | 28.5% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 10.2% | 1.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Chris Grabe | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 9.1% | 1.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 54.2% | 19.1% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 14.3% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.