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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.52+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.02+3.48vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.45-1.40vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-1.30+5.13vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.52+1.58vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.18+2.80vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.34-1.05vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.52-1.68vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.09-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.45-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.22vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-1.52-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.36-1.88vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-2.41-2.53vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.64-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89North Carolina State University1.5325.1%1st Place
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4.72University of South Florida0.5211.2%1st Place
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6.48University of Virginia0.025.9%1st Place
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2.6Jacksonville University1.4532.3%1st Place
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10.13Florida Institute of Technology-1.302.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Texas-0.523.5%1st Place
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9.8Indiana University-1.182.1%1st Place
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6.95Christopher Newport University-0.344.3%1st Place
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7.32Clemson University-0.523.9%1st Place
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9.25Embry-Riddle University-1.092.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Maryland-1.451.9%1st Place
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11.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.5%1st Place
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10.92The Citadel-1.521.3%1st Place
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13.12University of North Carolina-2.360.7%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Stony Brook-2.410.7%1st Place
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13.99William and Mary-2.640.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 25.1% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 32.3% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Fenner | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Knox | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Avery | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| John TIS | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Megan Miller | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| Rebekah Rothleder | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 23.1% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.