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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Samuel Blouin 10.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.5% 8.7% 8.1% 6.3% 8.0% 6.9% 5.7% 4.4% 5.3% 2.4% 3.0% 1.7%
Christopher Segerblom 4.9% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.9% 6.2% 7.3% 5.4% 7.9% 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 7.1% 8.4% 7.3%
Tedd Himler 10.9% 8.8% 10.3% 9.1% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 7.2% 6.6% 7.1% 5.6% 3.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9%
Scott Furnary 9.1% 7.7% 9.1% 9.2% 6.8% 7.1% 9.0% 8.1% 6.1% 7.3% 5.5% 5.3% 4.7% 3.0% 2.0%
Sean Bouchard 8.3% 9.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 8.9% 8.2% 6.9% 5.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.1% 2.9%
Wesley Byrne 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 3.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.2% 6.1% 6.8% 9.1% 10.4% 13.8% 22.2%
Mac Mace 5.2% 3.8% 5.0% 3.7% 4.9% 5.9% 4.8% 6.0% 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 7.1% 10.6% 9.1% 10.7%
David Hernandez 5.0% 4.2% 4.2% 5.0% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 7.5% 6.9% 6.4% 8.3% 9.4% 9.3% 11.0%
Will Stocke 3.3% 3.8% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.6% 5.4% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 9.2% 8.2% 12.3% 13.4%
Taylor Canfield 13.8% 14.7% 12.9% 11.6% 9.6% 8.3% 7.7% 6.0% 4.4% 3.9% 2.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Amy Hawkins 4.0% 7.0% 6.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.1% 5.8% 6.7% 6.0% 7.5% 6.0% 7.4% 8.5% 7.6% 7.0%
Clark Hayes 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 8.3% 6.4% 7.1% 6.4% 8.4% 6.5% 6.5% 8.3% 5.6% 8.3% 6.0% 4.7%
Kevin Laube 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.9% 6.2% 6.5% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 9.2% 8.1% 7.1% 5.1% 4.7%
Dillon Paiva 5.6% 6.3% 7.2% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 3.7%
Kevin Martland 5.1% 5.6% 4.4% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 5.3% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 8.7% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.