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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+6.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+3.15vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+2.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.02vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.24+4.78vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+1.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+0.83vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.92-5.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-2.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.09-4.01vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-4.88vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-6.04vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.58Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.78Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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4.92Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 22.2% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.