← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands0.42+3.92vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.38vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+3.58vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+1.93vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.16+5.02vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.85vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+0.93vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-2.79vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-4.84vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.96+1.94vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-2.46+2.57vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.24-2.49vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.81-1.37vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.53-3.58vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley-1.12-6.16vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-2.11vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-2.78vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-3.78-1.05vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-2.91-4.20vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine-3.02-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.92California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
-
3.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
-
6.58University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
-
5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.1%1st Place
-
10.02Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
7.85University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
-
7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.21California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
-
5.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
-
12.94University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
-
14.57University of California at Davis-2.460.0%1st Place
-
10.51Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
12.63Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.42University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
9.84University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.89University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
-
15.22University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
-
17.95Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
-
15.8University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
-
16.27University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Maggard | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 24.1% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Manuel Mackenna | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bailly | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Brayden Money | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Zoe Flemate | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 6.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.4% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 46.3% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 12.5% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.