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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+4.54vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+3.45vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.42+0.93vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+0.86vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.81+6.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-2.89vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.12-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.91+4.89vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.16-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.46+0.86vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.24-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-3.02+0.12vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.53-5.71vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-2.84vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.96-6.03vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-5.14vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-3.78-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.2%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.45California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.93California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.1%1st Place
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12.47Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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7.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
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15.89University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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10.25Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Davis-2.460.0%1st Place
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10.4Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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16.12University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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12.97University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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17.97Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 23.7% | 22.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailly | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 13.7% |
| Andrew Down | 3.5% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Manuel Mackenna | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 6.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| Brayden Money | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.