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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.57+2.43vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+3.54vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.86+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+3.88vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+3.12vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.03+1.79vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+2.10vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.79-1.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.27+0.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-3.24+2.14vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.79-0.38vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.79-5.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.14-4.91vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.68-4.67vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-5.57vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.91-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of California at Davis0.570.2%1st Place
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4.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.74California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Berkeley-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Berkeley-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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12.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.79Arizona State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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13.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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10.99Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Los Angeles-2.270.0%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Irvine-3.240.0%1st Place
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14.62Arizona State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.79Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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15.16University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 23.7% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 19.3% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danicka Sailer | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.0% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Kieran Lynch | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Erin Welker | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Anna Friess | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 27.2% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.