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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.57+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.86+3.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.45vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-0.23vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+5.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.27+4.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.96-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-3.24+6.20vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+2.07vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+0.36vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.03-0.98vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.79-3.14vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.79-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.14-4.85vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.91-3.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-4.45vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.68-5.81vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.79-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Davis0.570.2%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Berkeley-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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5.77California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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12.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Los Angeles-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley-0.960.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at Irvine-3.240.0%1st Place
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13.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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12.02Arizona State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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10.86Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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10.82Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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14.75Arizona State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 21.7% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| George Soliman | 20.2% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Danicka Sailer | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Friess | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 27.5% |
| Griffin Vernon | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Kieran Lynch | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Erin Welker | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.