← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Davis0.57+2.28vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.67vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.50vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33+1.44vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+6.44vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.86+1.13vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+5.07vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.79+2.25vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-2.90vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-2.03+1.33vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+1.60vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-1.79-1.45vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-2.97+2.17vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-2.75+0.03vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-2.14-3.30vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-3.24-0.25vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-2.27-4.86vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Davis-2.68-5.09vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-2.91-5.41vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-2.79-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28University of California at Davis0.570.2%1st Place
-
4.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
-
3.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
-
5.44California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
-
11.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
-
7.13University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
-
12.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.25Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
-
11.33Arizona State University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
12.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
-
10.55Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
15.17University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
-
14.03University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.7University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
-
15.75University of California at Irvine-3.240.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of California at Los Angeles-2.270.0%1st Place
-
13.91University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
-
14.59University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
-
14.34Arizona State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 25.0% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 22.1% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lynch | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Erin Welker | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Anna Friess | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 26.0% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.