← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Davis0.57+2.38vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.75vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33+1.45vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.42vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+6.14vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-2.27+5.53vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-2.03+3.43vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.86-1.91vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.79+0.75vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.04vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-2.79+2.84vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-2.78+1.82vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.79-3.38vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-2.19vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-2.14-3.88vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-2.68-2.68vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-2.91-2.48vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-4.30vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-3.24-3.47vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Berkeley-2.97-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.38University of California at Davis0.570.2%1st Place
-
6.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.45California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
-
3.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
-
12.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
-
12.53University of California at Los Angeles-2.270.0%1st Place
-
11.43Arizona State University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
7.09University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.75Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
12.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.84Arizona State University-2.790.0%1st Place
-
14.82California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
-
10.62Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
12.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
-
12.12University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.32University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
-
15.52University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
-
14.7University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
-
16.53University of California at Irvine-3.240.0%1st Place
-
15.25University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 23.6% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 21.7% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Tim Crawford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% |
| Erin Welker | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Anna Friess | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 23.3% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.