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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+4.64vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+2.22vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.50+2.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+2.45vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+3.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.24+4.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.33-0.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.91vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.05-1.67vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93+0.17vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-3.78vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-5.67vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.48-4.49vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.69-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.32Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.22Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tedd Himler | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| James Simmons | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 29.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% |
| David Hernandez | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.