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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.52+2.65vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-0.08vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-1.30+6.09vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.52+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.02+0.50vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.52+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+3.73vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.18+0.77vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.34-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.45-0.43vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.74vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-1.52-2.18vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.09-4.61vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.64-0.95vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-2.36-2.69vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-2.41-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Jacksonville University1.4530.4%1st Place
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4.65University of South Florida0.5210.7%1st Place
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2.92North Carolina State University1.5326.3%1st Place
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10.09Florida Institute of Technology-1.301.8%1st Place
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7.53University of Texas-0.523.5%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia0.026.4%1st Place
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7.45Clemson University-0.524.7%1st Place
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11.73University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.9%1st Place
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9.77Indiana University-1.181.8%1st Place
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6.85Christopher Newport University-0.345.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Maryland-1.451.4%1st Place
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11.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.4%1st Place
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10.82The Citadel-1.521.7%1st Place
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9.39Embry-Riddle University-1.092.6%1st Place
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14.05William and Mary-2.640.3%1st Place
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13.31University of North Carolina-2.360.7%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Stony Brook-2.410.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 30.4% | 26.3% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 26.3% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Oliver Fenner | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Avery | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John TIS | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| Ian Knox | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 30.9% |
| Megan Miller | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
| Rebekah Rothleder | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.