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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.57+2.49vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+3.63vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.96+3.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.86+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+4.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.27+4.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.68+4.75vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.03+1.04vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+1.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.75+2.16vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.79-2.97vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.79+0.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.91-0.39vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.14-4.50vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.78-2.60vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-6.37vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-3.24-3.17vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.79-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Davis0.570.2%1st Place
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5.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.77California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Berkeley-0.960.1%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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12.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Los Angeles-2.270.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.04Arizona State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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13.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.03Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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15.01Arizona State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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12.5University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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15.4California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Irvine-3.240.0%1st Place
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10.87Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 23.5% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danicka Sailer | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 20.9% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Kieran Lynch | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Tim Crawford | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Anna Friess | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.