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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+5.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+3.90vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.26vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+1.11vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-0.31vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93+0.20vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.24-1.80vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-5.63vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.48-4.54vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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6.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.8College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| David Hernandez | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Mac Mace | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| James Simmons | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 30.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 18.6% |
| Colin Smith | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.