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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.64+6.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.58+8.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.55+7.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.66+2.21vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.21-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+2.95vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.69vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-3.05vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.48-5.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+5.97vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.59-4.51vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90-0.45vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.75-1.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.71-0.80vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-1.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.27-9.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.32-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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11.62University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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5.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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9.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.95California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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16.97University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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7.49Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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12.55Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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12.29Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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15.97University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Will Cornell | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.7% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 45.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 16.6% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 22.0% | 26.2% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.