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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+3.40vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.66+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.53vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.59+2.38vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.21-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+3.00vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-1.77vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.27-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.32-2.60vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.90-1.18vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.75-2.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-0.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.00vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.38Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.09California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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10.0University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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9.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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13.26University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.82Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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12.04Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.44University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.0University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 21.9% | 28.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 20.1% | 43.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.