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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.10+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+0.29vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43+2.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.97+3.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44+0.67vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.32-2.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+1.60vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+3.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.12-5.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.73-1.11vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.51vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-3.41vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-3.81-0.44vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-3.79-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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7.48University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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5.7California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.36University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.0%1st Place
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6.04Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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14.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.98Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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13.59University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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17.56Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
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17.31University of California at San Diego-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 22.9% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 25.0% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 3.9% |
| Sanchita Pant | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 26.2% | 45.5% |
| Tean Brooks | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 27.1% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.